8

Eighth Immortal

2yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 77

Yarmouth · Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery · 6f 3y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has run to fair level when placed on all 4 starts to date, just no match for an improving rival when second of 12 in maiden at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces sported there are retained and whilst his opening mark is fair, he might be vulnerable to progressive types again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 13313/0644 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 13310/0744 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 78 · 7f6y GF 131 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 78 par1/084OR 784 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 77 · 7f1y Std 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 77 par22/084OR 77projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Lingfield42nd2nd0
2026-08-01Doncaster43rd3rd0
2026-07-10Chester43rd3rd0
2026-06-13Leicester42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0610/071/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
10/07/20263rd11/1094%82%-0.12
01/08/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
22/08/20262nd10/1195%91%-0.04