12
Art Lover
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 85
Yarmouth · Boodles Handicap · 6f 3y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |