Kodi Lion
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 92
Yarmouth · Boodles Handicap · 6f 3y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Newmarket | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Ayr | 2 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Sandown | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |
| 26/07/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 30/08/2025 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 20/09/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |