10

Pilu

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 88

Yarmouth · Boodles Handicap · 6f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won first 2 of 3 starts last year and, having been shaping up well this season, opened his account in handicaps at Newmarket last month. Merits consideration now that he's up and running for the campaign.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 01/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f160y Goo 1331/0844 @ Salisbury 29/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 1342 @ Salisbury 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 87 · 6f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 87 par2/102OR 872 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 87 · 6f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 86 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 86 par25/053OR 862 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 88 · 6f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 87 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 87 par30/073OR 874 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 86 · 6f Gd 138 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 86 par22/084OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newmarket41st2nd1
2026-07-30Goodwood38th8th0
2026-07-09Newmarket25th4th+1
2026-05-25Leicester32nd2nd0
2026-05-02Newmarket26th5th+1
2025-10-02Salisbury24th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/082/0530/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20251st28/10%100%+1.00
29/08/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
02/10/20254th9/488%0%-0.88
02/05/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
25/05/20262nd7/282%91%+0.09
09/07/20265th6/168%67%-0.02
30/07/20268th6/168%59%-0.10
22/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21