4

Purosangue

5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 91

Yarmouth · Boodles Handicap · 6f 3y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Smart performer at best for Andrew Balding. Has proved that he retains plenty of ability in handicaps for current yard this season, though ran a lesser race at Goodwood 18 days ago. However, he now drops in grade so he's interesting with cheekpieces back on and conditions to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 23/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 98 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 98 par23/082OR 982 @ Doncaster 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 96 · 6f111y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 96 par2 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 25 · OR 98 · 6f Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 98 par20/092OR 982 @ Ascot 04/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 96 · 7f Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 96 par2 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 97 · 5f3y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 97 par7/042OR 972 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 96 · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 96 · 5f Sta 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 96 par26/062OR 962 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 95 · 5f7y Gd 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Goodwood 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 93 · 6f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 93 par30/082OR 93projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Goodwood29th8th+1
2026-08-01Hamilton28th7th+1
2026-06-26Newcastle25th4th+1
2026-05-16Newbury24th3rd+1
2026-04-07Pontefract24th3rd+1
2025-10-04Ascot210th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/084/1026/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength5%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20256th18/15%55%+0.49
14/09/20256th5/174%58%-0.15
20/09/20254th5/174%88%+0.14
04/10/202510th14/126%36%+0.09
07/04/20264th5/174%75%+0.01
16/05/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
26/06/20265th15/261%69%+0.09
01/08/20268th8/158%30%-0.28
30/08/20269th17/255%11%-0.44