11
Westport
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 88
Yarmouth · Boodles Handicap · 6f 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 19th | 18th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 1/18 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 19th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |