IvyArcIvyArc
1

Divine Knight

5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 80

Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 17y

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Beaten favourite on 4 of his 5 starts for his leading yard, most recently when fourth of 14 at Epsom (1½m, good) 18 days ago. Has been dropped another 1 lb and back up to 1¾m, he's worth one more chance with Marquand up for the first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 01/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f11y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0825 @ Yarmouth 15/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m3y GF 144 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 88 par2 @ Doncaster 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m2f43y Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 88 par13/092OR 882 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 14th of 23 · OR 88 · 1m1f GF 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 88 par2 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m2f1y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 86 par25/052OR 862 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 84 · 1m5f26y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m6f34y GF 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 84 par11/073OR 843 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m4f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 81 · 1m4f6y GS 159 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 81 par31/084OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Epsom Downs44th4th0
2026-08-01Newmarket35th4th+1
2026-07-11Ascot33rd2nd+1
2026-06-20Ayr23rd1st+2
2026-05-25Redcar26th4th+2
2025-09-27Newmarket214th12th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0827/0911/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -7.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
15/08/20252nd11/588%83%-0.05
13/09/20254th16/116%63%+0.47
27/09/202514th40/10%41%+0.41
25/05/20266th7/282%44%-0.37
20/06/20263rd9/488%82%-0.06
11/07/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
01/08/20265th5/493%43%-0.51
31/08/20264th7/491%77%-0.14