6
Educator
7yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 75
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 17y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 15/05/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |