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8

Heroics

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 78

Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 17y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Overcame concerns about his stamina when opening his account in 4-runner handicap at Sandown (1¾m) in June and justified strong support in 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (1¾m) last month, leading final 1f. Up 4 lb but can continue on his upward trajectory returned to turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 1319/1054 @ Bath 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m Sft 13330/1044 @ Southwell 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f23y Std 12130/0444 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 72 · 1m3f188y Gd 127 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 72 par14/054OR 725 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 71 · 1m6f Gd 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 71 par12/065OR 712 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m6f GF 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 74 par4/072OR 745 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 1m5f219y Std 133 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 74 par18/085OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Wolverhampton51st2nd−1
2026-07-04Newmarket25th3rd+2
2026-06-12Sandown51st2nd−1
2026-05-14York44th4th0
2026-04-30Southwell42nd2nd0
2025-10-30Bath42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1014/0518/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20254th8/158%67%+0.09
30/10/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
30/04/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
14/05/20264th22/10%77%+0.77
12/06/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
04/07/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
18/08/20261st5/493%100%+0.07