10
Knightsail
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 75
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 17y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength48%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Goodwood | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |