9
Tai Hang Pegasus
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 78
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 17y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Meydan | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 18/5 | 81% | 67% | -0.14 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |