Zachary Hickes
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 78
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f 17y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |