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8

Anton Mauve

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 64

Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in novices for Kevin Philippart de Foy (sold for 3,000gns in July).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS17/0444 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS30/0444 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS15/054projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Newbury410th8th+2
2026-04-30Kempton49th7th+2
2026-04-17Wolverhampton48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0430/0415/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +32.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20268th11/142%13%-0.30
30/04/20269th200/10%38%+0.38
15/05/202610th150/10%36%+0.36