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12

Bizarre Law

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 46

Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Doncaster in May. Below form since, though latest sixth at Newcastle was at least a step back in the right direction and he's back on his last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m1f104y Std 121 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 46 par6/046OR 466 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 45 · 1m75y Goo 126 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m100y Goo 121 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 45 par23/046OR 456 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 45 · 7f6y GS 126 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f6y GF 122 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 51 par6/066OR 516 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 51 · 7f213y Goo 126 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Yarmouth 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 50 · 1m3y GF 132 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 50 par8/076OR 506 @ Catterick 26/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f14y Std 131 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 48 par3/096OR 48projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle66th6th0
2026-08-26Catterick68th8th0
2026-07-08Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-06-14Doncaster610th10th0
2026-06-06Doncaster67th7th0
2026-05-16Doncaster61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0416/058/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%

Delivery trend -8.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/20269th50/10%11%+0.11
18/04/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
23/04/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
16/05/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
06/06/20267th18/15%40%+0.35
14/06/202610th7/163%47%-0.16
08/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
26/08/20268th17/255%42%-0.14
03/09/20266th11/271%58%-0.13