3

Middleton View

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 64

Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in a first-time tongue strap in a classified event at Chelmsford on debut for this yard in December. However, just the one decent effort back in handicaps this year, running poorly at Brighton when last seen in June.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Pontefract 08/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2025 · OR 77 par8/043OR 775 @ Kempton 01/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 75 · 7f Sta 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Chelmsford City 18/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 73 · 5f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 73 par18/124OR 735 @ Chelmsford City 11/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 74 · 5f Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 74 par26/025OR 744 @ Wolverhampton 09/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 5f21y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 70 · 6f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/04/2026 · OR 70 par1/045OR 705 @ Yarmouth 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 67 · 7f3y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Brighton 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 65 · 6f210y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 65 par22/065OR 65projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Brighton55th4th+1
2026-05-20Yarmouth54th3rd+1
2026-04-01Kempton59th8th+1
2026-03-09Wolverhampton47th5th+2
2026-02-26Chelmsford City55th4th+1
2026-01-11Chelmsford City59th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0411/011/0422/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength36%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20257th12/137%25%-0.12
01/10/202510th17/255%25%-0.30
18/12/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
11/01/20269th10/382%11%-0.71
26/02/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
09/03/20267th18/15%0%-0.05
01/04/20269th40/10%0%0.00
20/05/20264th40/10%67%+0.67
22/06/20265th17/255%0%-0.55