13

Victorian Rose
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 46
Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 10.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 12th | 500/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |