13

Victorian Rose

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 46

Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y

#13

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Timeform

Commentary

Tailed off on all 3 of her starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0554 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0645 @ Southwell 05/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/075projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Southwell512th11th+1
2026-06-10Yarmouth411th9th+2
2026-05-20Kempton58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0510/065/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20268th80/10%0%0.00
10/06/202611th250/10%0%0.00
05/07/202612th500/10%0%0.00