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9

Viking Glory

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 63

Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Struggled at sprint distances but found 7f much more to his liking when off the mark in first-time cheekpieces at Brighton. A steadily-run 1m didn't suit as well at Kempton last week but this test should be more to his liking.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 02/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS2/1254 @ Newcastle 29/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newcastle 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m5y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 71 par9/014OR 715 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 69 · 6f12y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 66 · 4f217y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 66 par18/055OR 666 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 63 · 5f21y Goo 133 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 59 · 6f3y GF 130 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 par15/076OR 596 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 58 · 6f210y Goo 131 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 63 · 1m Sta 133 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 63 par9/096OR 63projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton67th7th0
2026-08-05Brighton61st1st0
2026-07-15Yarmouth63rd3rd0
2026-06-15Windsor610th10th0
2026-05-18Lingfield57th6th+1
2026-05-04Windsor512th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/124/0515/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20252nd4/596%88%-0.08
29/12/20255th3/184%56%-0.29
09/01/20263rd9/488%50%-0.38
04/05/202612th17/255%8%-0.47
18/05/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
15/06/202610th13/266%0%-0.66
15/07/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
05/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
09/09/20267th15/261%54%-0.07