Wise Crack
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 65
Yarmouth · White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap · 7f 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |