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6

Born A Rebel

5yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 66

Yarmouth · LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap · 1m 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice over 7f last year, including at this meeting. In-and-out form so far this season but has run well over 1m the last twice, splitting a couple of less-exposed rivals when second of 7 at Newmarket 6 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 67 · 1m Sta 138 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 67 par22/105OR 675 @ Newcastle 13/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 67 par5 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 66 · 7f14y Std 131 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 66 par6/025OR 666 @ Doncaster 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 65 · 7f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 66 · 7f127y Sft 131 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 66 par12/065OR 665 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 66 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 67 · 7f GF 136 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 67 par17/075OR 675 @ Newmarket 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 66 · 1m GF 134 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 66 · 1m GF 135 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 66 par6/085OR 66projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Newmarket52nd2nd0
2026-07-31Newmarket53rd3rd0
2026-07-17Newmarket54th4th0
2026-06-20Newmarket52nd2nd0
2026-06-12Chester511th11th0
2026-04-24Doncaster62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1024/0417/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20256th22/10%50%+0.50
13/12/20254th14/126%57%+0.31
06/02/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
24/04/20262nd33/10%93%+0.93
12/06/202611th6/168%0%-0.68
20/06/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43
17/07/20264th9/488%40%-0.48
31/07/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11
06/08/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02