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9

Eduardo Calderon

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 68

Yarmouth · LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap · 1m 3y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has returned to form with placed efforts on his last 2 starts, arguably unlucky not to gain a breakthrough success when never-nearer second at Epsom (8.5f) 17 days ago. That was his first attempt at around this trip, so there could still be better to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Brighton 30/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f215y Gd 13330/0552 @ Chester 14/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Chelmsford City 23/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f Std 13323/1055 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 68 · 6f212y Sft 134 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 68 par21/055OR 684 @ Leicester 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 7f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 67 par19/085OR 675 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 67 · 1m113y GS 127 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 67 par31/085OR 67projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Epsom Downs52nd2nd0
2026-08-19Kempton53rd3rd0
2026-07-04Leicester44th3rd+1
2026-05-21Haydock54th4th0
2026-04-25Leicester52nd2nd0
2025-10-23Chelmsford City57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0525/0419/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
14/06/20258th16/116%22%+0.06
23/10/20257th8/158%25%-0.33
25/04/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
21/05/20264th9/276%73%-0.04
04/07/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
19/08/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
31/08/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04