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Guest House

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 67

Yarmouth · LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap · 1m 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

39%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning return in handicap over this C&D in April and doubled his tally with a clear-cut success here last month. Wasn't in the same form at Newmarket on latest outing, but no surprise to see him bounce back at this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 04/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f18y Gd 1334/0652 @ Ascot 12/07/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Yarmouth 06/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 7f3y Goo 133 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 58 par6/106OR 585 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 1m3y GF 123 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 57 par4 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m2f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 62 par16/054OR 625 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Goo 127 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 61 · 1m3y GF 126 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 61 par23/075OR 616 @ Yarmouth 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m3y GF 131 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m Gd 132 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 67 par22/085OR 67projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newmarket54th4th0
2026-08-02Yarmouth61st2nd−1
2026-07-23Yarmouth53rd3rd0
2026-06-19Newmarket57th7th0
2026-05-16Newmarket44th3rd+1
2026-04-30Yarmouth51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0630/0423/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/202510th250/10%10%+0.10
12/07/202514th200/10%0%0.00
06/10/20253rd11/271%75%+0.04
30/04/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
16/05/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
19/06/20267th10/382%33%-0.49
23/07/20263rd2/189%33%-0.56
02/08/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
22/08/20264th9/488%50%-0.38