14
Makes Me Wonder
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 55
Yarmouth · LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap · 1m 3y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 7th | 1/1 | 95% | 14% | -0.80 |
| 28/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 17/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 03/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |