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10

Man Of Desert

5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63

Yarmouth · LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap · 1m 3y

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who, fitted with tongue strap, posted best effort of the season when second of 5 in handicap over this C&D in July. Has failed to repeat that performance in 2 starts since, though, down the field here (1¼m) 18 days ago. Blinkers added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 24/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m1f209y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 79 par24/074OR 794 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m5y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Yarmouth 21/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 75 · 7f3y GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 75 par21/044OR 755 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Sta 132 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m Sta 130 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 70 par20/055OR 705 @ Yarmouth 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 70 · 1m2f23y Goo 132 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Yarmouth 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 67 · 1m3y GF 128 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 67 par2/075OR 674 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m2f23y GS 126 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 65 par30/085OR 65projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth57th7th0
2026-08-12Kempton47th6th+1
2026-07-02Yarmouth52nd2nd0
2026-05-28Yarmouth54th4th0
2026-05-20Kempton57th7th0
2026-05-04Kempton55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/074/052/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength26%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20258th9/488%0%-0.88
17/10/20257th7/163%14%-0.49
21/04/202610th9/153%10%-0.43
04/05/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
20/05/20267th4/179%45%-0.33
28/05/20264th9/153%0%-0.53
02/07/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
12/08/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
30/08/20267th20/10%14%+0.14