3
Rusheen Boy
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67
Yarmouth · LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap · 1m 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |