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14:50 · Fairyhouse

Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race

7fGoing TBC2YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 85
10/11
Eighteenth Smiles silks

Annus Mirabilis Syndicate

Eighteenth Smiles

2yo Colt · 9-12

State Of Rest - Banned (Ulysses)

J M Sheridan60%J P O'Brien60%
550331
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful colt. 14/1, career best when winning 15-runner maiden at Cork (1m, good to soft) 22 days ago. Should prove hard to beat dropped to a claimer.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0531/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%18/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 31%11/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 82%18/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.8%Ahead 4/4
4
3
OR 72
7/1
Cloughleagh Bridge silks

Mrs Diane Murphy

Cloughleagh Bridge

2yo Filly · 9-8

Cotai Glory - Clef (Dutch Art)

Ronan Whelan0/3P J F Murphy
58486
3.0

Modest form in 5 maidens. Others are preferred.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/062/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%11/06Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%2/07Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 70%5/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 46%15/08Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 55%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.8%Ahead 4/4
2
Value2
OR 73
6/1
Shesthedevil silks

Black Steel Square Syndicate

Shesthedevil

2yo Filly · 9-12

Cotai Glory - Unique Cut (Kodiac)

Sam Coen60%−5lbP Magee60%
871665
4.0Class ↓7

Fair filly. Winner of maiden at Navan in July. 18/1, respectable fifth of 10 in nursery at Navan (6f, good) 16 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0519/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 30%31/05Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%16/08Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.0%Ahead 3/4
6
4
11/2
Cudawudashuda silks

Sean Jones

Cudawudashuda

2yo Colt · 9-0

Space Traveller - Lady Lambada (Famous Name)

Colin Keane0/2G M Lyons80%
674
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 10 in maiden claimer at Naas (1m, good to soft, 17/2) 4 days ago, never nearer. Blinkers on first time. Respected under Keane.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0731/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/0817/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%3/07Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%31/08Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%17/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 2/3
5
6
OR 58
14/1
Honey Deuce silks

Craig Bernick

Honey Deuce

2yo Filly · 9-6

St Mark's Basilica - Mint Julep (Mastercraftsman)

Gavin RyanJ A Stack
698
2.0

Represents last year's winning stable but has yet to build on her debut sixth and has something to find on form.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/069/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0718/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%4/06Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%9/07Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%18/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.5%Ahead 3/3
3
5
8/1
Tio Joao silks

T A Keane

Tio Joao

2yo Colt · 9-12

Calyx - Annecy (Swiss Spirit)

Donagh O'Connor60%0/1Robson Aguiar
67
2.0Class ↓7

Twice-raced maiden. 11/2, seventh of 12 in maiden at Dundalk (6f) 3 days ago. Improvement will be needed.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0718/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%23/07Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%18/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.8%Ahead 0/2
7
7
20/1
Somethingaboutlove silks

N Hayes

Somethingaboutlove

2yo Filly · 9-0

Soldier's Call - Le Freak (Born To Sea)

Rory Cleary0/2C W J Farrell
68
2.0

Well held in 2 maidens at Navan this month. Outsider.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/095/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%2/09Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 42%5/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.1%Ahead 2/2