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14:44 · Ffos Las

betting.bet Free Racing Tips Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 6fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 79
5/1
Sonic Pioneer silks

Redknapp, Salters & Powell

Sonic Pioneer

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Massaat - Three Gracez (Kyllachy)

Toby Moore60%−7lbM Keighley
202212
9.0Going 10.0Class ↓4

Fairly-useful performer on Flat for Jack Morland who has scored twice over hurdles for current yard, latest at Ludlow (2m) in April. Fairly treated back in this sphere and warrants respect.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/081/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par25/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par24/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par22/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%15/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%17/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%24/11Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%22/04
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.9%Ahead 4/4
9
2
OR 67
9/2
Captain Cairney silks

J O'mulloy And W R Muir

Captain Cairney

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Sottsass - Cardiff (Dubawi)

David Probert70%1/1W Muir & C Grassick60%
272511
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Front runner who arrives on the up after back-to-back wins at Leicester and Southwell (1¾m) in recent months. This looks more competitive but he is not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/0629/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%8/06Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%8/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 3/4
3
Market Fav5
OR 73
3/1
Torcello silks

Mr Dan Gilbert

Torcello

12yo Gelding · 9-10

Born To Sea - Islandagore (Indian Ridge)

J Mitchell60%S Lycett60%
700681
5.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Took advantage of much-reduced mark when landing 6-runner handicap at Haydock (2m, soft, 11/4) in May. 5 lb rise fair and is one for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/107/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par13/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par7/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/01 · mark par18/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/02 · mark par21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%25/10Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%13/09Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 13%18/02Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%21/05
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.7%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 78
16/1
Bay Of Myths silks

Commercium Ii & Partners

Bay Of Myths

3yo Gelding · 9-8

New Bay - Magic Nymph (Galileo)

Jack Doughty60%Dr R Newland
134
5.0

Justified heavy support starting out at Chelmsford in March. Never seemed happy at Redcar the following month but stayed on late when fourth of 7 in handicap at Thirsk (1½m, good to soft) 16 days ago and remains open to improvement.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0320/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/045/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%7/03Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 33%20/04Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 2/3
4
4
OR 72
7/1
Just An Hour silks

Mr Eric Gadsden

Just An Hour

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Justify - Hourglass (Galileo)

Oisin Murphy70%1/3B R Millman60%
634334
5.0Class ↓3

Consistent sort who made the frame again when fourth of 7 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Likely to be in the mix again but others preferred for win purposes.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/0514/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%14/05Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%11/07Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%10/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%24/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.7%Ahead 0/4
7
7
OR 71
4/1
Feelin' Free silks

Merry Wanderers

Feelin' Free

3yo Filly · 9-1

Nathaniel - Francisca (Mizzen Mast)

Darragh KeenanJack Jones
251
7.0

Off the mark at third attempt when landing 4-runner novice over shorter trip at Ripon 21 days ago. Ought to be suited by this stiffer test of stamina and must enter calculations on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0619/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/0831/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%17/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%19/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +57.7%Ahead 3/3
8
6
OR 71
8/1
Green Falcon silks

The Green Falcons

Green Falcon

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Kameko - Heartless (New Approach)

Saffie Osborne70%D Menuisier60%
442504
4.0

Fair form when making the frame all 4 starts last season and back to best when creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (7/1) over shorter trip at Haydock 17 days ago. Not discounted.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/0824/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par1/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 67%2/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 90%18/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%25/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%4/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 1/4
5
8
OR 72
20/1
Flash Bardot silks

Lord Sweeney Humphreys

Flash Bardot

6yo Mare · 9-9

Sixties Icon - Bridie Ffrench (Bahamian Bounty)

Callum Hutchinson60%Miss H C Knight
006757
4.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Winless since April 2024 but she had made a positive start for her new yard this year, placing twice over hurdles. May have needed the outing back in this sphere when seventh at Haydock latest and can't be ruled out here.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/0919/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par4/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 29%1/09Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%8/10Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%14/05Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 45%4/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 63
20/1
A Daughters Love silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

A Daughters Love

3yo Filly · 8-7

Mohaather - Loving Touch (Nathaniel)

Zoe Lewis60%−7lbD Flood
501248
4.0Going 8.0

Resumed her progress for current handler with most emphatic success in 10-runner handicap at this course (1½m) last month and posted good second here next time. Needs to bounce back from a poor Epsom run earlier this month, though.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/0725/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%14/07Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%4/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 40%21/08Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 46%10/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.0%Ahead 1/4