14:55 · Hamilton

Heineken Low & No Bar Handicap

5f 7yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 65
11/4
Tanjen silks

Mr N Pickett

4yo Filly · 9-2

Kodi Bear - Quality Time (Exceed And Excel)

D Allan60%1/9T D Easterby70%
751342
8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Capitalised on drop in grade when resuming winning ways at C&D last month and has remained in good form when making the frame on all 3 starts since, headed only close home when second of 10 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 8 days ago. Shortlisted with tongue strap on 1st time.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/0625/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par13/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%26/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 85%6/09Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%13/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.5%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 74
3/1
Thornaby Pearl silks

Ingleby Bloodstock Limited

8yo Gelding · 9-11

Pearl Secret - Juncea (Elnadim)

Jake Dickson60%2/2−5lbAdrian Nicholls60%
211312
9.0Class ↓3

Enjoying a productive campaign, scoring for the fourth time in 2026 at Windsor (5f, good to firm) last month. Confirmed himself as still in top form when second of 9 at Ripon (5f, good to soft) 21 days ago and his proven effectiveness on softer ground means he's of interest again.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/0611/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%25/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.3%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 70
6/1
Harb silks

Border Raiders Ii

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Muhaarar - Maid For Winning (Gone West)

Jason Hart60%1/1T Davidson60%
452110
6.0

Won at Beverley in late-August and then followed up at Newcastle just 4 days later. Not in same form trying to concede a double penalty when fifteenth of 21 in handicap at York (5.4f, good, 18/1) 15 days ago but merits respect.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/088/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 70%1/08Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%21/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%3/09Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 4/4
1
3
OR 75
6/1
Military Girl silks

Mr William Arblaster

4yo Filly · 9-12

Soldier's Call - Betsey Trotter (Camacho)

Connor Beasley60%5/13M Dods60%
112501
6.0Going 8.0

Completed a double in determined fashion over at Thirsk in early-June and added to her good record at Catterick when notching a third win of the season in a 9-runner race there (5f, good, 10/1) 13 days ago. Respected after 3 lb rise.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/055/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%20/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%16/06Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%30/08Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 68
16/1
Thistle Nil silks

Mr James Mearns Long

4yo Gelding · 9-5

U S Navy Flag - Souls In The Wind (Fastnet Rock)

Rhys Elliott60%2/6−5lbJ S Goldie
918010
5.0

Surprise 200/1 winner of an Ayr maiden (soft) in June. Back to form when doubling his tally at C&D (5f, 50/1) last month but rather predictably wasn't in the same form back at Ayr on Friday.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0619/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 27%9/06Pos 1 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%4/07Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 32%17/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 72
5/1
Veydari silks

Mr S Bland

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Hello Youmzain - Verriya (Zamindar)

Ryan Sexton0/6Miss J A Camacho
248472
6.0Class ↓3

Didn't manage to win for current yard last year but made the frame on 3 occasions. Having dropped back down to his winning mark, shaped well on his return when second of 10 at Pontefract in June, doing too much having faced competition for the lead. Has had a breathing operation ahead of return.

Class Advantage

12/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/0725/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par20/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%12/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%30/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%20/10Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%8/06
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.1%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 67
7/1
Ashen silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Phoenix Of Spain - Fly On The Night (Equiano)

P Mulrennan1/3J S Goldie
342025
5.0

Not long with present stable when opening account at Ayr in May. Largely held his form well since, producing another respectable effort when fifth of 11 in handicap at this course (6f, good) 31 days ago. Others holding more pressing win claims, though.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/066/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par21/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%19/06Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%11/07Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 90%7/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%21/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 1/4