13:23 · Listowel

Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden

1mGoing TBC3YO plusTURF17 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 72
10/3
Casamorati silks

N Reynolds

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Starspangledbanner - Visionara (Kingman)

Julian Pietropaolo0/1−7lbJ P O'Brien
898263
5.0

Stepped up markedly on previous efforts when a neck second of 18 in a handicap at the Galway Festival (8.4f) and returned to form when third in a minor event at that same C&D 13 days ago.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/045/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par21/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par8/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%25/04Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%21/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%8/09
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 1/4
13
Value2
8/1
Storm Ready silks

J Kirkland

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Night Of Thunder - Yellow Rosebud (Jeremy)

Shane Foley60%Mrs J Harrington80%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Night of Thunder gelding. Closely related to 1m/8.6f winner Nankeen and winner up to 9.5f Mellow Yellow and half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 11.4f-13f winner We Know. Worth betting check on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish2nd of 1794% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength58%
6
Market Fav3
OR 76
2/1
Keogie silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Sergei Prokofiev - Kozmina Bay (Notnowcato)

Adam Caffrey0/3N Meade
203862
5.0

Showed improved form stepped back up in trip when only just failing in a 14-runner maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. A repeat of that effort would see him go close.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0322/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 93%15/03Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%3/05Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%30/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.5%Ahead 2/4
9
6
8/1
Noble Irish silks

Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith,Westerberg

3yo Colt · 9-8

No Nay Never - Jumellea (Zoffany)

J Cleary−5lbA P O'Brien
8
2.0

No Nay Never colt. Shaped as if needing the experience when eighth of 16 in maiden at Cork (6f, good to soft, 13/2) on debut 22 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Likely to improve given powerful connections.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 53%30/08
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 0/1
11
5
12/1
Quick Return silks

Cunningham Landscaping Services Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Invincible Spirit - Obliviate (Estidhkaar)

Jessica O'Gorman60%0/1−7lbP G Fahey
9
2.0

€10,000 foal, Invincible Spirit gelding. Ninth of 10 in maiden (50/1) at Leopardstown (13f, good to firm) on debut. Off 95 days. Is bred to be more suited by this lesser test.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%18/06
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 1/1
10
10
12/1
Private Peaceful silks

Kate McNamara

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Coulsty - Quinine (Dark Angel)

Paddy Harnett60%E McNamara
6
2.0

€5,500 yearling, Coulsty gelding. Sixth of 9 in maiden at Killarney (1m, good, 16/1) on debut 68 days ago, not unduly punished. Probably one for handicaps further down the line.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%15/07
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 1/1
14
12
10/1
Zelani silks

Exors of the Late H H Aga Khan

3yo Gelding · 9-8

New Bay - Zenya (Raven's Pass)

Chris Hayes60%0/1D K Weld
5
2.0

New Bay gelding. Dam, 1¼m winner, half-sister to useful 1¼m-1½m winner Zannda. 8/1 and hooded, fifth of 15 in maiden at Navan (1m, heavy) on debut 175 days ago, not knocked about. Should have more to offer.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/03
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%30/03
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.5%Ahead 1/1
17
4
OR 40
50/1
Tijuana silks

David Edward Finn

8yo Gelding · 9-12

Territories - Virginia Hall (Medicean)

Reserve 1D E Finn80%
800070
2.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Remains a maiden after 11 Flat runs. 300/1, twelfth of 13 in maiden at Killarney (1m, good). Off 132 days. Tongue strap on for 1st time. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/0711/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par6/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par12/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 36%28/07Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 41%30/08Pos 21 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%12/09Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 8%12/05
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.8%Ahead 4/4
1
9
14/1
Abair Faic silks

Seamus Boyle

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Galileo Gold - Rachel Wall (Kodiac)

Seamie HeffernanJ J Murphy
No form3.0

Galileo Gold gelding. Dam once-raced half-sister to smart 5f/6f winner Waady. Not an obvious debut winner on paper.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 1750% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
15
7
20/1
Abiding Memory silks

Mrs Claire Gleeson

3yo Filly · 9-3

Wootton Bassett - Hikari (Galileo)

Declan McDonogh60%Gerard O'Leary
No form3.0

Wootton Bassett filly. Sister to 8.3f winner Rest Your Mind and half-sister to several winners, including smart 1m-1¾m winner Raise You and useful 1½m winner Lady G. Very well bred for one representing this yard and she's worth a second look in the betting.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish10th of 1744% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
7
14
25/1
Legato silks

Derek Iceton

3yo Gelding · 9-8

River Boyne - Nutkin (Act One)

Jack KearneyM Mulvany
0
2.0

River Boyne gelding looked a longer term prospect when eleventh of 21 in maiden (150/1) at Navan (1¼m, good) on debut 16 days ago. Down in trip.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.0%Ahead 1/1
16
16
OR 44
25/1
Miss Ivor silks

P O'Rourke

3yo Filly · 9-3

Elzaam - Surface Of Earth (Empire Maker)

Jimmy Dalton0/4−7lbP O'Rourke
009008
3.0Class ↓3

Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. Eighth of 21 in handicap (66/1) at Navan (1¼m, good) 16 days ago. Back down in trip. Easy to oppose.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/1111/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par7/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%7/11Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%30/08Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 65%5/09
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.3%Ahead 3/4
4
8
25/1
Crosborderalliance silks

Miss Susan A Finn

3yo Colt · 9-8

Bated Breath - Oasis Lady (Oasis Dream)

Darragh O'Sullivan−7lbMiss S A Finn
No form3.0Going 8.0

12,500 gns foal, €9,000 yearling, Bated Breath colt. Half-brother to 10.4f-1½m winner Haptics and winner up to 7.4f Embrace Adversity. Makes little appeal on paper.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish13th of 1725% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
5
11
66/1
Cuban Lights silks

G M Hill

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Havana Gold - Footlight (Showcasing)

Gary CarrollJ J Murphy
0
2.0

Havana Grey gelding cost only 1,500 gns yearling and was only fifteenth of 18 in maiden at Cork (1m, soft) on debut 12 days ago.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 18%9/09
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 13-18 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 1/1
12
13
50/1
Red Cuillin silks

Gillian Scott

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Raven's Pass - Mrs Jazz (Red Jazz)

James RyanG Scott
0
2.0

Raven's Pass gelding. Twelfth of 18 in maiden (125/1) at Cork (1m, soft) on debut 12 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 35%9/09
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.3%Ahead 1/1
8
15
20/1
Mothel Abbey silks

John Maurice Murphy & Michael O Phelan

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Arizona - Mademoiselle Penny (Lawman)

Alan Persse0/1−5lbP J Flynn
8
2.0

Never-dangerous eighth of 14 in maiden Leopardstown (9f, good to firm) on debut 46 days ago. Should improve.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 46%6/08
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.2%Ahead 1/1
2
17
50/1
Blue Vega silks

Richard Martin Ahern

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Lucky Vega - Lake Moon (Tiger Hill)

Adam Browne-Souza−7lbD W O'Sullivan
0
2.0

Lucky Vega gelding. 100/1, twelfth of 14 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) on debut 20 days ago.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 15%1/09
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.4%Ahead 1/1