3
El Teleno
2yo Colt · 9-2
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Ijockey Maiden Stakes · 6f 211y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |