13:25 · Newton Abbot

Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 167yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 107
5/2
Ride Like A Girl silks

Awr Ltd Sperling Snowden Morley & Stac

5yo Mare · 11-0

Beaumec De Houelle - Arizona Air (Hurricane Run)

G Sheehan60%2/8Jamie Snowden60%
344122
7.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Fair bumper winner. Seemingly all the better for a breathing operation when opening her hurdles account in a mares handicap at Huntingdon in May. Hasn't advanced her form with seconds in novices at Uttoxeter/Bangor since, though, and no easy task giving weight away to Matiwo.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0913/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%23/09Pos 4 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 4 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 57%25/11Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%7/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%8/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 3/4
6
3
3/1
Scott's Legacy silks

The Forefold Racing Partnership

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Vadamos - Claras Mighty (Shantou)

Sam Twiston-Davies80%1/1N & W Twiston-Davies60%
51
7.0

No shortage of stamina on his dam's side. Found plenty/showed a good attitude when making his second bumper start a winning one at Southwell in March (third since won a maiden). Returns with yard in good form, though likely needs Matiwo to underperform to make a successful hurdling debut.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/1224/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 64%20/12Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%24/03
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 1/2
7
4
13/2
Silver Whisper silks

The Silver Whisperers

4yo Filly · 10-5

Scalo - Silver Wish (Brian Boru)

David Noonan0/2Ben Clarke
732
5.0

Cheap purchase who has looked a tricky ride when placing in Fontwell bumpers 4 months apart. Something to find on her bumper form and probably the type who'll need the experience of her hurdling debut.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0424/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/056/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%19/04Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%24/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.5%Ahead 1/3
4
Market Fav2
OR 119
6/4
Matiwo silks

The Culverhill Partnership

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Bathyrhon - Lady Anouchka (Vettori)

C Gethings1/4Mrs J Williams60%
3F148
5.0Class ↓3

Newbury juvenile hurdle winner who stands out on his fourth in the Grade 2 Dovecote at Kempton in February. Let down by his jumping at Compiegne subsequently but has his sights firmly lowered for this return to action. The one to beat for connections who won this corresponding race last year.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/1014/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0121/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/021/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par1/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 78%11/10Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%14/01Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%21/02Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 30%1/04
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.9%Ahead 3/4
5
7
33/1
Savanna Storm silks

Mr Mark Boulton

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Ocovango - Imperial Allure (Fame And Glory)

Rian Corcoran60%0/2−5lbD Pipe60%
7487
3.0
Hood

Showed a bit when hitting the frame in a course bumper in July. Looks to be being brought along with handicaps in mind over hurdles, finishing down the field in first-time hood at Worcester (2m, 100/1) last time.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0513/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0723/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0810/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%6/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%13/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%23/08Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 45%10/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.7%Ahead 3/4
1
5
25/1
Happy Chandler silks

Mr Roger Gould

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Al Kazeem - Kentucky Belle (Heliostatic)

Harry Reed60%0/2M Blake60%
54
4.0
Hood

Modest 1¼m winner on the Flat. Ran to a similar level both starts over hurdles, latterly beaten 15¼ lengths in a first-time hood over C&D. Will be better off in handicaps after this run.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/047/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%26/05Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%22/07Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.4%Ahead 2/4
2
6
50/1
Pappano silks

Mr D Brennan

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Nathaniel - Mary Anne Evans (Oasis Dream)

Ellis Collier0/1−5lbS Hosie70%
P5
4.0Class ↓4
1st Hood +1

Head-strong sort. Has stood little racing since his useful days on the Flat in 2024. Bombed out twice for Willie Mullins (including on hurdle debut in the Triumph) last year and was well beaten in first-time tongue strap here (2¾m) on return/stable debut. Plenty to prove.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/066/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par4/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 30%19/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 20 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 20 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%18/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 3/4