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13:54 · Hamilton

Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap

6f 6yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 65
2/1
Fern Clyde silks

Nick Bradley Racing 4 & Partner

Fern Clyde

2yo Filly · 9-8

Lope Y Fernandez - Queenoftheclyde (Dandy Man)

D Allan60%1/3T D Easterby90%Course spec.
134645
4.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Improved to get off the mark in an ordinary maiden at Pontefract (6f) in June. Laboured effort when fifth of 7 in seller at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 13 days ago. The most exposed but expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0623/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%17/07Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%12/09Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%15/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.3%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 50
9/4
Bonjour Belle silks

Mr Joseph Bell & Mr Tony Wood

Bonjour Belle

2yo Filly · 8-7

Without Parole - Rock Me Baby (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/1−3lbB Ellison
570464
3.0

Matched debut form when fourth of 7 in nursery (12/1) at Musselburgh (1m, good to firm) last month. Now reverts to sprinting.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%13/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%19/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 44%13/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%24/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 48
7/1
Stay On Tab silks

Mr Bruce Jones & I Jardine

Stay On Tab

2yo Colt · 8-5

Harry Angel - Exceedingly Sonic (Exceed And Excel)

A Mullen70%0/4I Jardine60%
636765
3.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Has made little impact so far and is hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0429/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%4/04Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%21/05Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%25/08Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
7
7
OR 46
8/1
North Coates silks

Mrs C E Mason Racing

North Coates

2yo Gelding · 8-3

Belardo - Harvest Day (Harbour Watch)

J P Sullivan60%M & D Easterby
567
3.0

Cut little ice first 3 starts and may do better now sent handicapping.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0826/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0811/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength48%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%16/08Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%26/08Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 25%11/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 2/3
1
3
OR 66
20/1
Or Another silks

Lamont Racing

Or Another

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Dark Angel - Playback (Recorder)

Jason Hart60%0/2K Scott
347349
4.0
Tongue strap

Got back on track when making the frame at Carlisle on stable debut but went the wrong way upped to 1m at Thirsk last time. The return to sprinting should suit.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0427/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par16/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par27/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 33%29/04Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 14%8/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 70%27/08Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.2%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 53
5/1
Lady Titania silks

Four Fillies Racing & E Burke

Lady Titania

2yo Filly · 8-10

Showcasing - Eminently (Exceed And Excel)

Jack Nicholls60%0/1−3lbK R Burke80%
7757
3.0Class ↓3

Is yet to offer much in 4 starts and is hard to recommend. The tongue tie is quickly discarded again.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0710/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0822/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/088/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%10/07Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%10/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%22/08Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%8/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.6%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 55
16/1
Dadawada silks

Three Lilywhites Ltd

Dadawada

2yo Filly · 8-12

Kodiac - Nyanga (Born To Sea)

Zak Wheatley60%C N Kellett
5460
3.0
Hood

Lightly-raced maiden who's shown only poor form to date but did shape a bit better than result despite finishing no better than mid-field on nursery debut at Thirsk 2 weeks ago. Now needs to build on that.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0622/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/082/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0914/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%30/06Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 40%22/08Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 17%2/09Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%14/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 3/4