IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. thistledown
  3. race-4

18:20 · Thistledown

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 36
8/5
Instant Winner silks

Michael Rone

Instant Winner

3yo Filly · 8-7

Instagrand - Rockport Dancer (Rockport Harbor)

Luis Rivera60%0/9Michael Rone
972222
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

1/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par1/0411/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par25/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par15/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par9/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par29/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%1/04Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%25/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%9/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%29/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 0/4
5
3
OR 100
6/1
Cupids Cavalier silks

Shane Meyers

Cupids Cavalier

3yo Filly · 8-7

Cupid - Timefadesthepages (Spring At Last)

Gerardo Corrales60%Shane Meyers
746
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0717/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0831/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%27/07Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%17/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.1%Ahead 2/3
7
2
OR 38
5/2
Ravishing Ruby silks

Lmj Racing

Ravishing Ruby

3yo Filly · 8-7

Neolithic - Real Fancy (Munnings)

Luis Batista60%0/4Lorenzo Juarez
564333
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0528/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par15/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par9/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par29/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%11/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%15/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%29/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.4%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 34
10/1
Mobil Truth silks

Kristina Tumblin

Mobil Truth

4yo Filly · 8-11

Mobil - Yes Means Yes (Yes It's True)

German Terraza0/4Kristina Tumblin
3756
3.0

Class Advantage

13/07 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a13/0729/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/0724/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/0814/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%13/07Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%29/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%24/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%14/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 46
20/1
Destiny's Tot silks

Orv Racing Stables, Llc

Destiny's Tot

4yo Filly · 8-11

Kennedy - Destiny Over Fate (Drill)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%0/7Oscar Romero
625348
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

15/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/0613/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par24/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par14/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%23/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%24/08Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 22%14/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 26
3/1
Hola Amor silks

N And E Racing Stables

Hola Amor

4yo Filly · 8-11

Sky Kingdom - Zamgo (Zamindar)

Jefferson Skerrett60%0/1−5lbSaul Morales
4
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

17/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/09
Class readWELL IN
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength76%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%17/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 0/1
3
6
OR 58
20/1
Twotwentyfivesouth silks

Loudin-smith, Lori And Liss, Joe

Twotwentyfivesouth

4yo Filly · 8-11

William's Kitten - Princess Avril (Fast Anna)

Jason Simpson60%0/5Lori Smith
468768
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par25/0212/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par30/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par13/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par24/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%25/02Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%30/03Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%24/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.5%Ahead 1/4