IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. presque-isle-downs
  3. race-6

21:45 · Presque Isle Downs

Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m 70y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 93
5/2
King Mendelssohn silks

Samuel Klein, Jr

King Mendelssohn

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Mendelssohn - Crown Royal Queen (Tale Of The Cat)

Israel Rodriguez60%3/5Scooter Davis60%
331211
9.0

Class Advantage

30/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/0916/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par19/12 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/12 · mark par20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%30/09Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%19/12Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%7/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.5%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 98
4/1
Twilight Dancer silks

Chan E Brook Stables

Twilight Dancer

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Tapiture - Moonlight Basin (Eurosilver)

Gaddiel Martinez60%0/1Tim Girten60%
634125
6.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

15/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/042/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%15/04Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%22/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%14/08Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%18/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 89
6/1
Justice Is Sweet silks

Don Sayban

Justice Is Sweet

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Peace And Justice - Sweet Like Candy (Twirling Candy)

Antonio Gallardo60%1/2Michael Pappada60%
218341
7.0

Class Advantage

9/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/062/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%9/06Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%18/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.1%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 107
7/2
He's A Mess silks

Scooter Davis

He's A Mess

8yo Gelding · 8-11

Dramedy - Nightfury (Kitalpha)

Taylor Kingsley60%−7lbScooter Davis60%
661224
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

20/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par20/102/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 17%20/10Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%19/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%19/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 91
10/1
Hector silks

Ron Potts

Hector

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Maclean's Music - Amy Farah Fowler (Astrology)

Scott Spieth60%1/2Ron Potts70%
121244
6.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

8/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/1022/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%8/10Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%13/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%29/07
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.0%Ahead 1/4
3
6
OR 103
3/1
Shadow Factor silks

Ron Potts

Shadow Factor

4yo Gelding · 8-11

The Factor - Amy Farah Fowler (Astrology)

Ciera Pruitt60%−7lbRon Potts70%
614114
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par26/0418/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%26/04Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%10/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%18/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.4%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 77
10/1
Hurricanes Ablowin silks

Lisa Nowicki

Hurricanes Ablowin

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Include - Bad Moon Rising (Malibu Moon)

Alexander Chavez60%0/6Michelle Winters
428256
4.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

8/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/0916/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/10 · mark par16/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par5/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par6/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%8/09Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%16/11Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 20%6/03Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%18/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 1/4