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12:50 · Newton Abbot

Celebrating Devon Women In Business Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m 1f 170yGoing TBCClass 34YO plusTURFHandicap3 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 110
11/8
Limerick Leader silks

Team Tristar (uk) Ltd

Limerick Leader

9yo Gelding · 11-4

Joshua Tree - Out Law D'oc (Rahotep)

James Bowen60%3/10Nick Scholfield60%
334112
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
BlinkersTongue strap

One of several success stories for his yard this season. Well ridden to defeat Depalma at Bangor prior to defying a penalty at Sedgefield (3¼m). Made a bold bid for hat-trick when ¾-length second at Kelso (2¾m) latest. Dangerous back up in trip, especially if given rope on the front end.

Class Advantage

23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par23/0613/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par16/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 50%23/06Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%22/08Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%9/09Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%16/09
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 120
5/1
Muskerry Rock silks

Mr Mickey Bowen

Muskerry Rock

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Shirocco - One Treasure (Mahler)

S Bowen80%M Bowen80%
81221P
9.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Narrowly denied in 2 handicap hurdles before scoring readily in a C&D chase on third start for Dan Skelton. Didn't look 100% on final run for the yard last month. Will need to get back on the up to make a winning start for shrewd connections, though.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par29/1220/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par7/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 23%29/12Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%7/05Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 89%19/06Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 350% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.7%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav3
OR 102
11/10
Depalma silks

Mr Dan Skelton

Depalma

7yo Gelding · 10-10

Ocovango - Wind And Reign (Scorpion)

Harry Skelton80%1/2D Skelton90%Course spec.
312321
6.0
Cheek pieces

Two-time Irish point winner. Shaped well when 3-length second to Limerick Leader on stable debut at Bangor. Overcame return to hurdles/shorter trip to get off the mark in course novice (2¾m) last time. Makes plenty of appeal off the same mark back over fences and hardly looks fully exposed, either.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1223/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par11/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par6/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%26/12Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 36%11/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%4/09Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.1%Ahead 1/4