14:20 · Roscommon

Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100)

2m 4f 48yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap19 runners
Ordered by projected finish
11
Market Fav2
OR 84
3/1
Ardgillan silks

Ms Fiona Wentges

6yo Gelding · 10-12

Califet - Rapid Replay (Doyen)

Alex Harvey60%0/3M M Lynch60%
790001
5.0
HoodTongue strap

Hold-up type. Proved a different proposition in first-time hood/tongue strap when finding plenty to land a 16-runner handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (2½m) latest. Still interesting off 5 lb higher, especially if strong pace materialises.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/083/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%9/08Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 40%13/11Pos 22 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 16%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%8/08Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.9%Ahead 4/4
8
Top Pick1
OR 89
4/1
Duce Bigalow silks

James Woods & A M Ryan & Donie Culloty & D Enright

7yo Gelding · 11-3

Pour Moi - Bobbina (Bob Back)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%Colm Ryan
525221
8.0

Knocking firmly at the door over fences for Seamus Neville last winter. Easily made a winning start for current yard in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (3m) in April, doing it in good style from the front. Drop back in trip no issue and may defy a 10-lb rise if ready to roll.

Class Advantage

25/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par25/1115/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/12 · mark par11/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/01 · mark par17/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par21/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%25/11Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%11/01Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%21/02Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%12/04
Projected finish2nd of 1994% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 3/4
13
5
OR 83
4/1
Move It On Over silks

Kevin Mangan

5yo Gelding · 10-11

Portage - Samantha Bellamy (Black Sam Bellamy)

J J Slevin60%0/4John F O'Neill
080U41
6.0

Found improvement to open his account on return to handicap/longer trip at Sligo last time (21f), all out to hold on. That form has some substance but will need more again to follow up off his revised mark.

Class Advantage

11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/084/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par15/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par19/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 59%30/05Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%21/07Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.3%Ahead 4/4
1
6
OR 100
9/2
Jurality silks

Roy Racing Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Masar - Notary (Lawman)

Donagh Meyler0/1P W Flynn
056042
4.0

Off the mark on the Flat this summer. Going the right way over hurdles now, travelled well when pipped in a similar event at Navan (19f) last time. Should go well again off 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/0715/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par19/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 19
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 91%2/07Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%23/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%2/09Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 93%19/09
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.3%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 99
10/1
Go To The Moon silks

Marantpad Racing Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-13

Vadamos - Revaader (Revoque)

Phillip Enright60%0/1M M McNiff60%
P10742
5.0
Tongue strap

Successful on second of 2 starts in points. Runner-up in pair of maiden hurdles this summer, latterly beaten 17 lengths off a quick turnaround at Kilbeggan (25f). Back down in trip for handicap bow and his opening mark demands a little bit more.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/056/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0719/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0821/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 21%12/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%6/07Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 57%19/08Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%21/08
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.6%Ahead 4/4
12
9
OR 84
9/2
Bruise Hill silks

Stick Tothe Motorway Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 10-12

Valirann - Elegant Approach (New Approach)

Sean Flanagan60%0/1W J Burke60%
080682
4.0
Tongue strap

Lightly-raced 5-y-o. Improved back in calmer waters when beaten only by a well-backed favourite at Wexford (2½m) last time. Makes plenty of appeal in a race that should again be run to suit.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/036/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par28/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 30%19/03Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 19%14/04Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%28/08
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.6%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 99
100/1
Getaway Charlie silks

Mrs Claire Doyle

10yo Gelding · 11-13

Getaway - Chermesina (Be My Native)

Mr D Doyle60%1/16−7lbT Doyle60%
PP0040
4.0
Cheek pieces

Hasn't come close to adding to his sole success in recent starts, finishing down the field in first-time cheekpieces at Roscommon (3m) latest.

Class Advantage

31/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par31/1220/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par5/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par14/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par4/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 19th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%31/12Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%5/04Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%6/07Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 21%4/08
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.0%Ahead 4/4
7
8
OR 90
20/1
Ancient Myth silks

N F Glynn

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Camelot - Queen Rabab (Fastnet Rock)

Sam EwingN F Glynn60%
00007
2.0
Blinkers

Ridden more positively in first-time blinkers when beaten 6 lengths at Ballinrobe (2¾m) latest, possibly finding his stamina stretched. Back down in trip for only his third handicap start and still on a potentially handy mark given his Flat form.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/099/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par24/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%21/09Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 36%26/05Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%16/07Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%24/08
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.9%Ahead 4/4
6
3
OR 91
100/1
Kilashee silks

Bitview Partnership

11yo Mare · 11-5

Oscar - Echo Queen (Luso)

Kevin Healy60%0/1−7lbJ P Ryan60%
067PP7
3.0

Trailblazer who was successful over hurdles off only 1 lb higher at Galway (soft) last autumn. Hasn't been in much form over fences of late, though, a spent force by 2 out when well-held seventh of 16 in handicap chase at Ballinrobe (23f).

Class Advantage

29/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/097/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/10 · mark par30/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par21/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par29/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 15th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%29/09Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%30/10Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%29/11Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%11/09
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 2/4
9
12
OR 89
50/1
Granda George silks

Sean Maguire

9yo Gelding · 11-3

Mamool - Sinead's Shantou (Shantou)

Thomas O'Connor60%−7lbE McCarthy
28002
5.0

Off over 2 years since his much-improved second on handicap bow at Listowel (2¾m, soft). Entitled to need this.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/065/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0824/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0827/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 30%1/06Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 21%5/08Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 23%24/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 92%27/09
Projected finish10th of 1950% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.8%Ahead 4/4
17
15
OR 82
50/1
Blackwater Soldier silks

P Culloty

9yo Gelding · 10-10

Soldier Of Fortune - Blackwater Bride (Anshan)

Reserve 1David Barry60%
160098
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Successful on the second of 2 starts in points. Looked to be being brought along steadily in maidens in 2023. Showed a bit when beaten 7¾ lengths on belated return/handicap bow at Ballinrobe (2¾m). Remains to be seen if he can build on that with tongue strap added. RESERVE

Class Advantage

4/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/0518/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%4/05Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%18/05Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%30/09Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%21/10Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 53%24/08
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.9%Ahead 4/4
5
10
OR 94
16/1
Kellys Corner silks

Horsing Around Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-8

Westerner - Miss Mayberry (Bob Back)

Jordan Gainford0/3C Collins60%
035P45
3.0
Tongue strap

Low-mileage 5-y-o. Hit the frame in a Naas maiden/Gowran handicap last season. In good hands and weighted to go well on his return.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/1122/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par12/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%8/11Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 87%15/12Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%7/03Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%12/04
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 12-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.5%Ahead 4/4
14
11
OR 81
50/1
Stily silks

Michael J McDonagh

6yo Gelding · 10-9

Clovis Du Berlais - Kauto Etoilee (Saint Cyrien)

Cian Quirke60%0/5M J McDonagh
332P66
4.0

Maiden who placed off higher marks than this last season. Hasn't fired this season, the first-time hood he wore over fences last time quickly discarded. Not discounted if back on song.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/097/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par30/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par20/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%26/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%30/10Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%3/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%28/08
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.3%Ahead 3/4
19
19
OR 86
16/1
Ballyminnion Boy silks

Mrs H Kiernan

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Urban Poet - Lady Beneficial (Beneficial)

Reserve 3E McCarthy
P00806
2.0

Shaped with some encouragement at long odds in maidens. Saw out his race with more purpose with hood added at Ballinrobe last time, finishing 5½ lengths sixth of 16 (2¾m, 66/1). Still very early days in handicaps and worth noting if lining up. RESERVE

Class Advantage

28/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/059/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par24/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 47%28/05Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%9/06Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 63%10/07Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%7/08Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%24/08
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.6%Ahead 4/4
16
18
OR 72
20/1
Max Time silks

I Madden

9yo Gelding · 10-0

Policy Maker - Dancing Dynamo (Waky Nao)

Tom Kelly60%−7lbI Madden
PP04P6
3.0
Tongue strap

Turned in his best effort for nearly 2 years when 7¼ lengths behind Move It On Over at Sligo (21f), despite taking a strong hold. Will need to build on that to double his tally (1-39 under Rules).

Class Advantage

1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par1/0711/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par29/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par9/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par16/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par19/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 47%1/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%29/01Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 79%16/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%19/08
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.9%Ahead 4/4
10
14
OR 86
20/1
Trackman Tommy silks

D Cunningham

8yo Gelding · 11-0

Notnowcato - Outback Ivy (Bob Back)

Philip Donovan60%0/5J P Broderick
U7PPR1
2.0

Didn't show much when last seen under Rules for Patrick G. Kelly in December 2024. Won a point in February of this year and market can guide returning to Rules off much-reduced mark for new connections.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/042/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par21/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par27/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par15/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par19/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/04projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 73%14/04Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 21%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 23%21/11Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 45%15/01Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%19/04
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.1%Ahead 3/4
18
16
OR 81
25/1
Chanceitlucky silks

Neil Rawle

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Yorgunnabelucky - Seedless (Mtoto)

Reserve 2A Murray
904650
2.0

Low-mileage 7-y-o. Showed up fairly well before absence seemed to tell on reappearance last month. Tighter in the betting with tongue strap refitted but went backwards from that effort at Ballinrobe 2 weeks on. Headgear now removed. RESERVE

Class Advantage

9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0820/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 11%9/08Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 77%14/10Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 73%10/08Pos 12 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 12 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 27%24/08
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 2-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.7%Ahead 3/4
4
13
OR 95
50/1
Let Him B silks

C Byrnes

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Casamento - Mary B (Vinnie Roe)

Philip Byrnes60%1/10C Byrnes
912009
3.0

Off the mark on reappearance at Downpatrick in March before improving to finish second at Limerick (had subsequent winners behind on both occasions). Hasn't fired in 3 starts this season, easy to back at Ballinrobe (2m) latest. Worth noting if market speaks in his favour back up in trip.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/0317/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par16/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par7/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par28/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par10/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 16th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%12/03Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%16/04Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 35%28/05Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%10/08
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 11-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.1%Ahead 2/4
15
17
OR 72
50/1
Amron Diamond silks

Diamond Racing Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Diamond Boy - Dawn Flyer (Broadway Flyer)

Daniel KingJ Barcoe
0304P0
3.0

Hit-and-miss maiden who made the frame in 2 handicaps for J. D. Motherway last season. Shaped as if in need of the run on stable debut at Clonmel in May. On a reasonable mark if ready to roll with Daniel King taking over.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0412/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par4/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par14/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par14/05projClass-projected finish: 17th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 48y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%17/04Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%28/05Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 81%4/08Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%14/05
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 2/4