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17:39 · Fort Erie

Race 4 - Claiming

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 76
5/2
Ashcar Nellie silks

Colebrook Farms

Ashcar Nellie

5yo Mare · 8-12

Passion For Action - Fair Rose (Harlan's Holiday)

Leo Salles60%Kevin Buttigieg60%
312322
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

13/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/10 · mark par13/1029/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par3/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%13/10Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%12/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%17/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%30/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 0/4
2
2
OR 67
8/1
Shes Hot To Trot silks

Bruno Schickedanz

Shes Hot To Trot

7yo Mare · 8-10

Ju Jitsu Jax - Blanche The Flirt (Sharp Humor)

Steve Jadoo60%1/2Julie Mathes
221331
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par20/0521/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%20/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%30/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.6%Ahead 4/4
1
4
OR 70
3/1
Moventothecountry silks

Davis, Richard M And Shand, Trevor

Moventothecountry

4yo Filly · 8-12

Point Of Entry - Suzy Mascara (Second In Command)

Sofia Vives60%Richard Davis60%
352231
7.0

Class Advantage

29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par29/0525/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%29/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 80%19/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%20/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.5%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 61
20/1
Last Glimmer silks

Steven Cathcart

Last Glimmer

6yo Mare · 8-10

Uncle Mo - Gloaming (Malibu Moon)

Ismael Mosqueira60%Steven Cathcart
134174
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par21/1030/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%21/10Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%21/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%17/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%14/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.2%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav6
OR 66
2/1
Buff Bay silks

Mamba 8 Racing, Orth, Tonya And Zaniol, Dean

Buff Bay

4yo Filly · 8-10

Reload - Super Mom (Super Saver)

Juan Crawford60%1/2Mark Fournier60%
741751
6.0

Class Advantage

18/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par18/0415/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%18/04Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%11/08Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%14/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.8%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 72
4/1
Pop Chart silks

Pan Am Racing

Pop Chart

5yo Mare · 8-10

Mo Town - Brilliant Autumn (Yes It's True)

Alexis Sanchez60%1/4Steven Cathcart
354241
8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/0418/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%21/04Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 25%30/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%21/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.1%Ahead 1/4