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15:38 · Hamilton

Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap

5f 7yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 70
5/1
Thunderstorm Katie silks

Summerstorm Bloodstock Ltd

Thunderstorm Katie

5yo Mare · 9-12

Muhaarar - Firenze (Efisio)

Lauren Young60%1/8−5lbJ S Goldie60%
291624
7.0

Well placed/drawn when opening her account for the year at Ayr last month and was an excellent close second of 20 back there (5f, soft) 11 days ago. Not so good here (6f, soft) 3 days later, however, and forced to race from 2 lb higher now.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/071/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par20/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%31/07Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 95%17/09Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%20/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 2/4
7
4
OR 54
3/1
Supremissy silks

Crown Tavern Lanark Ltd

Supremissy

3yo Filly · 8-9

Supremacy - Divine Celt (Lawman)

A Mullen70%1/6I Jardine
194792
5.0

Improved to make a successful handicap debut at Musselburgh in June and having largely struggled since, got back to best and confirmed herself effective on testing ground when second of 8 to Impressor over C&D 8 days ago. Needs to prove that wasn't a false dawn.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/068/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par20/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%21/08Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%12/09Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%20/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav2
OR 54
9/4
Impressor silks

Mr J Toes & Mr J O'loan

Impressor

9yo Gelding · 9-0

Footstepsinthesand - Little Empress (Holy Roman Emperor)

Connor Beasley60%2/3Phillip Makin70%
360801
6.0
Cheek pieces

Veteran who has come good at this time of year once again, landing a gamble when beating Supremissy by ½ length in the mud over C&D 8 days ago. Carries a 4-lb penalty and fancied to be in the shake-up once again.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0610/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par20/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%4/06Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%8/08Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 8%2/09Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%20/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.6%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 68
11/2
Vince L'Amour silks

Reality Partnerships X

Vince L'Amour

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Invincible Army - Red Romance (Dutch Art)

D Allan60%3/26T D Easterby100%Course spec.
902086
3.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Up-and-down performer who ran one of this season's better races when sixth of 20 at Ayr (5f, soft) 11 days ago. Not sure to be in same form here.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/0725/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%6/07Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%7/08Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%26/08Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 74%17/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.3%Ahead 3/4
3
5
OR 70
10/1
Great Profit silks

Mr E Black

Great Profit

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Profitable - Piccola Sissi (Footstepsinthesand)

Barry McHugh70%1/7S Hanlon
222130
5.0

Runner-up 3 times on the spin before getting off the mark at Thirsk (6f) in early August. Only beaten 2 lengths when keen enough on final start for Gary Harrison at Newcastle earlier in the month but made a low-key start for his new yard at Ayr (5f, soft) 11 days ago. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/0616/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 86%20/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%27/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 85%5/09Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 42%17/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 3/4
8
3
OR 51
12/1
Never Dark silks

Alison Walker Sarah Cousins

Never Dark

9yo Gelding · 8-7

No Nay Never - Dark Missile (Night Shift)

Alex Jary2/15I Jardine
726370
4.0Class ↓3

Isn't the force of old but has placed in a couple of handicaps off much-reduced mark this summer. Well held in a higher grade than necessary at Ayr 11 days ago and others preferred kept to this company.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/0811/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%1/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%21/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 45%9/09Pos 17 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 17 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 16%17/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.1%Ahead 2/4
1
7
OR 70
12/1
Roach Power silks

Mrs A Tait & Jerry Stevens

Roach Power

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Ribchester - Evening Time (Keltos)

P Mulrennan60%0/1M Wigham80%
740707
3.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Won 5 times over the minimum trip in 2025. Hasn't fired this season though, including in reapplied blinkers at Haydock on Saturday.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/058/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par26/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%22/05Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 18 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 11%15/08Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%6/09Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%26/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.4%Ahead 3/4
5
8
OR 58
20/1
Solid Bond silks

Mr J N Blackburn

Solid Bond

4yo Filly · 9-0

Profitable - Flick Show (Fastnet Rock)

Zak Wheatley60%1/8D Carroll60%
708319
4.0
Tongue strap

Bounced back to form to get off the mark at the eleventh time of asking in 12-runner event at Carlisle (5f, good to soft) earlier in the month. Not the same form as last time having faced competition for the lead at Newcastle (5f) since, though.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1027/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%6/10Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 30%5/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%9/09Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%19/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 2/4