IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. wolverhampton
  3. race-6

18:00 · Wolverhampton

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

1m 5f 219yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 55
11/2
Trojan Truth silks

Woodham Walter Partnership

Trojan Truth

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Ulysses - Verity (Redoute's Choice)

L Morris70%1/9E De Giles60%
632535
5.0
Blinkers

Typically slowly away but recorded a turf hat-trick last summer. Placed on 4 occasions this year but never a threat after another very slow start here (1½m) 10 days ago. Blinkers back on. More than capable off this mark but comes with risks.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/0614/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%20/06Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 88%28/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%2/09Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%18/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.1%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 49
3/1
Zafaan silks

Odds-on Syndicate

Zafaan

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Zoffany - Gush (Empire Maker)

Billy Loughnane80%0/2Charlie Clover60%
555145
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek piecesHood

Landed a 1¼m Yarmouth classified race in June and arrives on the back of a hurdle win at Worcester (2m) in this headgear combination 24 days ago. Likely to have a big say under Loughnane if stamina holds over the longest trip he's tackled on the Flat.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par17/1126/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par23/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%17/11Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%8/07Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%23/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 54
33/1
Billingsgate Gold silks

Mr Anthony Lyons

Billingsgate Gold

3yo Filly · 9-4

Havana Gold - Cape Cyclone (Cape Cross)

Marco Ghiani60%0/1S C Williams90%
06067
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Lightly-raced maiden. Could only manage a well-held seventh of 13 on handicap debut at Windsor (11.5f, good to soft) 30 days ago but has fewer convictions than the rest of these. The cheekpieces she's worn the last twice are now left off and replaced by a first-time tongue tie.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/024/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%4/02Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%4/03Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 9%27/04Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 58%11/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.9%Ahead 4/4
2
4
OR 50
11/2
Lednikov silks

Crazy Racing Ltd

Lednikov

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Footstepsinthesand - Ledena (Pivotal)

Elle-May Croot60%4/31−5lbI Furtado60%
557435
4.0
Blinkers

Landed a sixth Southwell in March but has rarely threatened the judge since, including well held back at Southwell on latest start 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0623/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%13/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 40%7/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%15/08Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 46
12/1
Bigz Belief silks

Mr Charles Cole & Mr Myles Osborne

Bigz Belief

9yo Gelding · 9-3

Make Believe - Manaka (Falco)

Gina Mangan60%0/2Miss Celine De La Haye60%
428325
6.0Class ↓4
Visor

Drawn a blank since a Sligo hurdle success in June 2023 but he was second in a 1½m course handicap for Fergal O'Brien in March. Also runner-up on Jersey for new trainer last month.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/1128/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par17/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par26/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par2/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par23/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par23/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%27/11Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%17/01Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%2/03Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%23/03
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.4%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 49
7/2
Wonderful Wendy silks

Mr B Preece

Wonderful Wendy

4yo Filly · 9-6

Kameko - Maralika (Dubawi)

Joe Leavy60%0/1H J Evans
056254
4.0Class ↓3

Improved second on handicap debut at Chepstow (1½m) in June. Hasn't reproduced that level in 2 subsequent outings but she has fewer convictions than most at this level.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/085/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 17%1/08Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 29%27/04Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%29/08Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%18/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 2/4
9
8
OR 50
6/1
Dijon Gone silks

Bramble Syndicate

Dijon Gone

3yo Filly · 9-0

Too Darn Hot - Insoumise (Galileo)

George Bass60%0/6D J Coakley60%
087626
4.0
Cheek pieces

Returned to form when creditable second of 13 in handicap at Windsor (11.5f) last month but not in the same form when sixth at Epsom since. Steps up in trip now tackling tapeta for the first time.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0415/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 20 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 21%18/04Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%1/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%29/08Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 62%10/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.6%Ahead 1/4
5
10
OR 48
8/1
Baileys Warrior silks

Mrs Danika Faulkner

Baileys Warrior

8yo Mare · 9-5

The Gurkha - Missisipi Star (Mujahid)

R Havlin60%2/6T Faulkner
400036
4.0

Dual 2m all-weather winner in 2024, including here. Back on track when 3½ lengths third of 9 over 1½m at Chepstow on return in June but not in the same form back there since.

Class Advantage

22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/0716/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par6/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%22/09Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%6/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%29/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.5%Ahead 3/4
8
7
OR 46
16/1
Late Claim silks

The Pit Stop Partnership

Late Claim

5yo Mare · 9-3

Almanzor - Star Value (Danehill Dancer)

Finlay Bassett0/10−7lbJ Mackie80%
643786
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Sole success came on handicap bow at Lingfield last December. Looked back in form when third switched to classified company at Ayr in June but little impact back in handicaps since.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/048/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%21/04Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%19/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%23/07Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%21/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 49
50/1
Long Reign silks

Mr A Wardall

Long Reign

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Time Test - Quiet Queen (Sulamani)

Tyler HeardM P Tregoning70%
0977
3.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Half-brother to a useful sort but has yet to show much, including on Pontefract handicap debut just 4 days ago. First-time cheekpieces need to spark improvement.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0411/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0624/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 219y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 25 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 25 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%18/04Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%11/05Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 33%9/06Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%24/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.3%Ahead 2/4