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19:00 · Wolverhampton

Cavani Winning Form Handicap

5f 21yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
3
OR 72
13/2
Adalida silks

Mr Derek J Willis

Adalida

3yo Filly · 9-8

Ardad - Squelch (Dark Angel)

Marco Ghiani60%1/7S C Williams60%
021253
7.0Going 8.0

Doubled her tally at Yarmouth (5f, firm) in July. Creditable third of 9 in handicap at Sandown (5f, soft) 17 days ago.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0627/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%12/06Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 43%21/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%11/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.3%Ahead 4/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 71
8/1
Nogo's Dream silks

Mr R J Rexton

Nogo's Dream

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Oasis Dream - Morning Chimes (Shamardal)

Oisin Murphy70%2/5R Hughes70%
264264
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Quirky sort but often makes the frame and 2 of his 4 wins have been gained under Oisin Murphy. Back on a good mark.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0622/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par23/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%12/06Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%6/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%24/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.4%Ahead 0/4
4
Market Fav5
OR 73
11/4
Too Darn Good silks

K Hunter, D Leon And Hunscote Stud Ltd

Too Darn Good

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Too Darn Hot - Rebecca Rocks (Exceed And Excel)

Nicola Currie60%1/2H Candy
735161
7.0

Back to form under an attacking ride when getting off the mark in an 11-runner event at Windsor in July. Went off too hard there next time but settled better with cheekpieces removed and produced a career best to see off 8 rivals over C&D 3 weeks ago. Raised 7 lb but he was well on top at the line.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/0519/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%22/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%7/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%17/08Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 2/4
3
2
OR 74
14/1
U S S Charleston silks

Mr J Millar

U S S Charleston

3yo Colt · 9-10

U S Navy Flag - Charleston Belle (Danehill Dancer)

Lewis Edmunds60%1/2Lemos Souza90%
524356
5.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +31st Tongue Strap +2

C&D winner. Added to his tally at Yarmouth (5f) in May but the handicapper has been winning the argument since and he remains 3 lb above that last win mark. First-time blinkers and tongue tie go on.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/0730/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par13/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 64%24/07Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%7/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%8/09Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%13/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.5%Ahead 0/4
8
4
OR 67
8/1
Enter Sandman silks

N J Clayton

Enter Sandman

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Starman - Paella (Oasis Dream)

Billy Loughnane80%0/1D J S Ffrench Davis60%
250433
5.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Successful on all-weather over 5f at Newcastle and Lingfield in the spring. Ended his time with Richard Spencer with thirds over C&D and at Windsor in the first half of this month. New connections recently acquired him for 7,000 gns.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/058/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%8/05Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%16/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%7/09Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 82%14/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.0%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 75
3/1
Bona Fortuna silks

Value Racing - Bona Fortuna

Bona Fortuna

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Mehmas - Ajla (Exceed And Excel)

L Morris70%0/1M Appleby70%
222662
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Dual winner in 2024. Runner-up 4 times since, including at Brighton (5.3f, good) 27 days ago. That was only his second outing of the season so he's fresh for the time of year. Makes all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/0726/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par2/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%5/07Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%15/08Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%7/08Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.5%Ahead 0/4
7
7
OR 71
4/1
Loleeta silks

No Fun Winning Alone Club

Loleeta

3yo Filly · 9-7

Tasleet - Lolamotion (Equiano)

Olivia Haines60%1/1−7lbS C Williams60%
682551
6.0

Front runner who recorded a first handicap success at Brighton (5.3f, good) 27 days ago. Likely to remain competitive off 5 lb higher.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par12/0213/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%12/02Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%9/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%8/08Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.3%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 75
33/1
Comic Strip silks

Rabbah Racing

Comic Strip

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Blue Point - Laugh Aloud (Dubawi)

Harry Davies60%0/1S & E Crisford60%
237550
4.0
Tongue strap

Winner of back-to-back all-weather nurseries at the end of last year (including C&D). More miss than hit this season but is feasibly handicapped if a return to all-weather sparks a revival.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par20/1211/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par27/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%20/12Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%27/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%29/06Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%1/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.0%Ahead 2/4