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12:44 · Hamilton

Clearwater DC Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

6f 6yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 67
6/4
Annie Edson Taylor silks

Mr James Binks

Annie Edson Taylor

5yo Mare · 11-5

Mayson - Rivalry (Medicean)

Miss Pippa Brown60%0/1Phillip Makin80%
616911
8.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Successful at Thirsk in June and put a couple of below-par efforts behind her when resuming winning ways refitted with cheekpieces over C&D twice this month in the mud. Has a 5-lb penalty to shoulder but can go well again in current mood.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/055/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par20/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%19/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%17/06Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%20/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.2%Ahead 2/4
6
2
OR 58
10/3
Bay Breeze silks

Mr D A West & Partner

Bay Breeze

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Buratino - Midnight Mojito (Azamour)

Miss Rebecca Burley60%−5lbT D Easterby80%Course spec.
344631
7.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Capitalised on a career-low mark to win 7-runner handicap over C&D (soft, 11/4) last week, making all. Carries a 4-lb penalty and doesn't appeal as being the type to follow up on balance.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/069/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%3/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 70%9/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%9/09Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 4/4
4
3
OR 65
7/2
Lumenbourg silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Julie Camacho

Lumenbourg

5yo Gelding · 10-12

Aclaim - Unilit (Approve)

Mr Paddy Barlow60%Miss J A Camacho60%
314652
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Resumed winning ways at Carlisle in June. Back to form when length second of 13 to Big Apple Jack in C&D handicap 26 days ago. Cheekpieces are retained and now needs to back that last effort up.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/059/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%18/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%20/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%23/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.1%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 69
8/1
Maldevious silks

Returnedwithahorse

Maldevious

4yo Filly · 11-2

Kodi Bear - Piacere (New Approach)

Mr Matt Brown60%B Ellison60%
439154
5.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Gained a deserved breakthrough win at Thirsk in August and was quickly back on track at Newcastle last time. Drops back in grade here.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/0517/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%19/05Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%26/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%11/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.0%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 64
8/1
Punchbowl Flyer silks

The Cross Racing Club

Punchbowl Flyer

9yo Gelding · 10-11

Dream Ahead - All On Red (Red Clubs)

Miss Brodie Hampson60%J G M O'Shea60%
211674
5.0Class ↓4
Blinkers

Won back-to-back 6f handicaps at Chepstow and Ffos Las in June. Has failed to repeat that in 3 starts since but is already back down to last winning mark and any further rain will help.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0615/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%6/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%15/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%7/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.5%Ahead 3/4
3
5
OR 68
16/1
Thistle Nil silks

Mr James Mearns Long

Thistle Nil

4yo Gelding · 11-1

U S Navy Flag - Souls In The Wind (Fastnet Rock)

Mr Eireann Cagney60%J S Goldie60%
180104
5.0

Surprise 200/1 winner of an Ayr maiden (soft) in June. Back to form when doubling his tally over 5f here (40/1) last month but little impact in 2 starts since. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/064/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 32%17/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%21/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.7%Ahead 2/4