16:13 · Hamilton

Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Handicap

1m 4f 15yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
2
OR 54
6/1
Hickton silks

Riverside Racing Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Kodiac - Ice Eagle (Free Eagle)

Zak Wheatley60%3/14D Carroll
196533
6.0

Landed this corresponding race last year and resumed winning ways at Southwell (1¾m) in April. Has largely struggled since but back on song with a couple of third-placed efforts in recent weeks. One to consider from this much-reduced mark.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/047/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%22/05Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%2/09Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%14/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 3/4
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 57
4/1
Uncle Liam silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Gleneagles - Fountain Of Honour (Sadler's Wells)

Lauren Young60%1/11−5lbJ S Goldie
815413
8.0

Opened account over this C&D in June and forged clear to double his tally here (11f, soft) earlier in the month. Sent off a short-priced favourite but could only manage third of 6 over C&D 8 days ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/054/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par20/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%15/05Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%17/06Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%20/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.9%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 46
5/1
Storm On Jura silks

Summerstorm Bloodstock Ltd

4yo Filly · 9-0

Golden Horn - Padmavati (New Approach)

Rhys Elliott60%0/2−5lbJ S Goldie
480882
5.0

Remains a maiden but ran best race under more testing conditions than usual when second of 6 over C&D (soft) 8 days ago. Every chance of going one better under the same rider.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/066/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par20/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%30/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%8/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%14/09Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 80%20/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.8%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 57
10/1
African Gib silks

Mrs A K Oldfield

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Territories - Buxlow Belle (Authorized)

Jack Dace70%−5lbD Menuisier80%
667864
4.0

Still a maiden but again saw the trip out well when fourth of 13 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, good to soft) last month. May benefit from being ridden more prominently now and could take another step forward.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0929/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%25/09Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%3/12Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 55%30/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%29/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 3/4
6
4
OR 57
8/1
Crown Inn To Win silks

Alfa Site Services Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Ubettabelieveit - Greek Oasis (Oasis Dream)

D NolanI Furtado60%
222137
5.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Gained a first win at Wolverhampton in April but having had a breathing operation, was never going to see things out having been even keener than usual back from 3 months off at same course in late-July. Handicapper drops him 1 lb and usual hood is discarded.

Class Advantage

24/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par24/029/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%24/02Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%21/04Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%9/05Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 45%30/07
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 1/4
1
8
OR 60
6/1
Masekela silks

The Sheroot Partnership

7yo Gelding · 10-0

El Kabeir - Lady's Purse (Doyen)

P Mulrennan60%James Moffatt
442462
5.0Class ↓6

Hasn't won since his juvenile days and little to shout about over hurdles for new connections this season, most recently after a second breathing operation. Did go close from this mark when last seen on the level for Tim Easterby last October but hard to have much confidence.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/1017/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par2/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength91%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%14/10Pos 2 · SP 7/5 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 7/5 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%2/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%20/07Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%29/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 4/4
5
3
OR 58
12/1
Hansteen silks

Mrs S Holtby

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Sea The Moon - Hey Little Gorl (Sternkoenig)

Jason Hart60%0/6J & S Quinn
021227
6.0Going 8.0

Gained a first win at Pontefract in July and runner-up twice at odds on his next 2 starts. Threw in a modest display despite getting an easy time of things in front at Carlisle (11f, good to firm) last month so needs to prove that was just a blip.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/046/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%8/04Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 86%4/08Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.0%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 53
8/1
Off Spin silks

S Bulmer, P Hebdon & R Taylor

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Almanzor - Spin Doctor (Mayson)

D Allan60%0/8T D Easterby70%Course spec.
326325
5.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Long-standing maiden but did shape better than the distance beaten suggested when fifth of 10 at Ayr (13f, soft) 10 days ago, still going best when on the shoulder of the leader around 2f out but not able to sustain his effort. Could be worth chancing dropped slightly back in trip.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/065/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%19/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%19/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%14/09Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%18/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4
9
9
OR 45
12/1
Due To Shine silks

Shine Racing

3yo Filly · 8-7

Due Diligence - Shine Baby Shine (Aqlaam)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%B Ellison
370575
3.0

Winless from 10 starts but turned in best effort of the season returned to the scene of her best 2-y-o run when fifth of 10 at Beverley (8.5f, good) 12 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/1013/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par16/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%2/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%16/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%31/08Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%16/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.1%Ahead 3/4
10
10
OR 45
10/1
Sunnysideofdstreet silks

Kevin Blake (partnership)

3yo Filly · 8-7

Counterattack - Sworn Mum (Samum)

Joanna MasonJ P O'Brien60%
070
2.0
Tongue strap

Tailed off in 3 Dundalk maidens last winter. Makes handicap debut upped markedly in trip and worth a second look in the betting for her top yard.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/113/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/1212/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%26/11Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%3/12Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%12/12
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.6%Ahead 1/3