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15:04 · Hamilton

Barbara Ann Letham And Son Johnathan Memorial Handicap

5f 7yGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 84
7/2
Jordan Electrics silks

Bjordan,brianjordan,sjordan&Nmcconnell

Jordan Electrics

10yo Gelding · 9-10

Dandy Man - Ruby Slippers (Sir Percy)

P Mulrennan60%9/21J S Goldie
313001
7.0

Veteran course specialist who recorded his tenth win here over C&D (soft) last week. Must be respected under a penalty.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/0720/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par21/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%17/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%21/08Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 61%18/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.9%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 82
9/2
City Captain silks

The Horse Watchers 10

City Captain

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Aclaim - City Girl (Elusive City)

D Tudhope60%3/5H Bethell
162412
8.0Going 8.0

Won 4 times last season and further progress this year, resuming winning ways here (6f) last month. Only just denied the follow up over same C&D last week so obvious claims off the same mark with the drop to 5f unlikely to be an issue.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1027/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%18/04Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 86%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.4%Ahead 2/4
7
4
OR 81
5/1
Temple Of Athena silks

Nick Bradley Racing 17 and Partner

Temple Of Athena

3yo Filly · 9-2

Magna Grecia - Dance Hall Girl (Dansili)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/2B Ellison
844543
5.0Class ↓2

Mixed record since winning at Wolverhampton on return but she proved herself on testing ground when a length behind Copper Knight at Chester 9 days ago.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/055/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%14/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%6/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%11/09Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%19/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.8%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 84
7/1
Francisco's Piece silks

Keatley Racing OG, Finneran & Allen

Francisco's Piece

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Mayson - Josefa Goya (Sakhee's Secret)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/3A Keatley
575126
5.0Class ↓3

Took advantage of his reduced mark when ending the drought at Musselburgh in July. Found to have bled after but showed no ill effects in 2 starts since, likely to have been right in the mix had he not met trouble in the Ayr Bronze Cup 10 days ago. Needs considering.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/108/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 64%25/10Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%9/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%29/08Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 78%18/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.1%Ahead 3/4
9
Value2
OR 75
14/1
Parisiac silks

Alison Walker Sarah Cousins

Parisiac

7yo Gelding · 8-11

Kodiac - Colgin (Canford Cliffs)

Jack Nicholls60%1/5I Jardine60%
122089
4.0
Cheek pieces

Resumed with success over C&D in June. Runner-up on next 2 starts but not in the same form since. Back on last winning mark now at least.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/069/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%20/06Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%21/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%6/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.1%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 77
8/1
Dandy Magic silks

Summerstorm Bloodstock Ltd

Dandy Magic

4yo Filly · 8-13

Dandy Man - Magic Mirror (Dutch Art)

Lauren Young60%3/12−5lbJ S Goldie60%
431324
7.0
Cheek pieces

Capitalised on reduced mark when opening her account for the season here (6f) in August. Good in-frame efforts next 3 starts, including at Haydock (heavy) on Saturday, but form suggests she's better at 6f.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/0724/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par26/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%20/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 93%13/09Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 70%26/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.8%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 85
12/1
Topwarrior silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

Topwarrior

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Sergei Prokofiev - Squash (Pastoral Pursuits)

H Crouch60%0/3R M Beckett100%
010008
2.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Goes well in the mud, as shown when winning off this mark at Newbury in a big field last autumn. Yet to fire this season but latest run at Doncaster (in this headgear) was much more encouraging. Interesting.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0924/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%27/09Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 7%6/06Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 18%28/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 53%13/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.8%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 74
5/1
Copper Knight silks

Ventura Racing (Copper) & Partner

Copper Knight

12yo Gelding · 8-10

Sir Prancealot - Mystic Dream (Oasis Dream)

D Fentiman60%1/12T D Easterby70%Course spec.
909081
5.0
Tongue strap

Admirable veteran who took advantage of his low draw and career-low mark when justifying support at Chester 9 days ago. Will likely find this tougher.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0625/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%13/06Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%20/08Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 22%13/09Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%19/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.8%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 92
20/1
Gaeli silks

James and Susan Cookson

Gaeli

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Exceed And Excel - Cralegre (Montalegre)

K Stott70%P A Kirby60%
165600
2.0
Blinkers

Stepped up on his form in Italy when winning off 4 lb higher at Southwell on return in March. However, ran poorly on final start for Marco Botti and showed little encouragement starting out for this yard at Ascot.

Class Advantage

4/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above4/03 · mark par4/0321/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par18/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par8/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par26/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par8/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%4/03Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%18/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%26/06Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%8/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 1/4
6
10
OR 81
25/1
Changeofmind silks

Ursa Major Racing & Riverside Racing

Changeofmind

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Sioux Nation - Dusty (Paco Boy)

Zak Wheatley60%1/15D Carroll
876230
4.0Class ↓2

Back to winning ways at Pontefract in May. Some decent efforts in defeat since but found this level a bit too competitive at Doncaster 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0513/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par13/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%31/05Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%4/09Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%13/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.8%Ahead 3/4