16:43 · Fort Erie

Race 2 - Claiming

5f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 53
9/5
Free Charging silks

Beverly Curto

5yo Mare · 8-10

Take Charge Indy - Wow Me Free (Menifee)

Sofia Vives60%0/1Beverly Curto
154422
7.0

Class Advantage

31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0519/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%28/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%31/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%14/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 61
2/1
Jinx Me silks

Robert Elkins

4yo Filly · 8-10

Reload - She's The Umpire (Smart Strike)

Da Sean Gaskin60%0/2Joseph Humber
532376
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par11/1218/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%11/12Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%19/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%18/08Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.5%Ahead 0/4
6
4
OR 61
8/1
Silverdart silks

Six Brothers Stable

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mendelssohn - Macallan Gal (Stormy Atlantic)

Kirk Johnson60%1/3Ken Albu
216845
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/067/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%25/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%30/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%31/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%14/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.1%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 44
9/2
Maritude silks

Pan Am Racing

4yo Filly · 8-10

Mo For The Money - Unholy Night (Najran)

Juan Crawford60%0/1Steven Cathcart
231872
5.0

Class Advantage

14/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par14/0421/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 60%14/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 60%31/05Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%12/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%14/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.3%Ahead 0/4
5
2
OR 56
5/1
Fredericka's Rose silks

Candice Warwick

3yo Filly · 8-8

St Patrick's Day - Bella Vincenza (Biondetti)

Ismael Mosqueira60%1/5Steven Cathcart
624136
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/067/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%21/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%21/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%31/08Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%14/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.5%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 38
12/1
Porshas Run silks

Kim Hopkinson

5yo Mare · 8-10

Souper Speedy - Mischevious Mia (Forestry)

Matthew Dennis60%Michael Cohen
255774
4.0

Class Advantage

14/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/1021/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%14/10Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%1/08Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%31/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%14/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 2/4