16:05 · Roscommon

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Chase

2m 5f 131yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
2
OR 98
5/2
Ladies Well silks

Mrs Crogh's Syndicate

6yo Mare · 10-8

Mahler - Miss Crick (Midnight Legend)

Cian Quirke60%2/11A Slattery60%
2U1214
8.0
Tongue strap

Has taken well to chasing this season, winning 23f handicaps at Killarney in July and August (runner-up at this course in between). Shaped as if still in top form when fourth of 16 at Ballinrobe last time, left with too much to do. Strong contender.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par31/1024/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par4/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par20/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par11/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%31/10Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%11/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.2%Ahead 3/4
7
Market Fav4
OR 100
9/4
Chosen Shant silks

Aengus King

10yo Mare · 10-10

Shantou - Ratheniska (Well Chosen)

Phillip Enright60%3/14Aengus King60%
712516
5.0
Cheek pieces

Both hurdles wins at Wexford and has scored in 2 handicap chases there this season, the latest over 19f last month. Back hurdling, again ran well when sixth of 18 in mares handicap at Listowel 8 days ago. Not taken lightly back up in trip.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/0630/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par22/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par7/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par28/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par20/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 54%8/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%22/07Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 69%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%20/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.5%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 112
11/4
Jolie Jewel silks

Daniel Kelly

7yo Mare · 11-8

Spider Flight - Verysland (Saint Des Saints)

James Smith1/2−5lbB McMahon
063263
5.0
Hood

Fairly useful winning hurdler who has matched that form in 4 starts over fences this season, 1½ lengths third of 7 in maiden at Ballinrobe (23f) 5 weeks ago. Interesting as she makes handicap chase debut.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par28/1229/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par25/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par24/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%28/12Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%25/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%28/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 116
16/1
Nastya silks

Alan Halsall

7yo Mare · 11-12

Vendangeur - Lisnasella (Great Palm)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%1/4H De Bromhead80%
21F1PP
9.0Going 10.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Fortunate to double her tally over fences at Limerick (25f) in May. However, has been let down by her jumping when failing to complete both outings since, pulled up at Tramore 6 weeks ago. Cheekpieces reached for.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0113/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par16/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/10 · C11 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par21/05 · C11 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%28/01Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%5/10Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%21/05
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.4%Ahead 3/4
6
3
OR 102
25/1
Ad Caelum silks

John Patrick Ryan

7yo Mare · 10-12

Cloudings - Ad Meliora (Rail Link)

Alan O'Sullivan60%1/2−5lbJ P Ryan60%
315PP5
4.0
Tongue strap

Fairly useful hurdler, landing a Kilbeggan handicap (3m) in June. However, she's still looking for a first win over fences, making little impact tried in tongue strap when fifth of 9 in mares maiden at Ballinrobe (23f) 17 days ago.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/0515/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par21/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par15/06 · C12 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par10/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par11/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%4/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%21/05Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%10/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.9%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 110
14/1
Beauforts Storm silks

Mrs Claire Doyle

7yo Mare · 11-6

Gale Force Ten - Travel Treat (Kalanisi)

Mr D Doyle60%2/22−7lbT Doyle70%
72U744
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Best effort over fences when runner-up in mares maiden at Tramore (2m) in May. Hasn't kicked on from that effort since, though, well-beaten fourth of 5 in novice at Wexford last time. Cheekpieces applied for handicap chase debut.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/0526/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par30/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par12/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par22/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%9/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%30/05Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%22/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%28/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.3%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 110
16/1
Bynx silks

BTF Racing Club

8yo Mare · 11-6

Vadamos - Volcanic Lady (Invincible Spirit)

Sean Flanagan60%3/10M Hassett
168480
3.0

Versatile performer who won over 2m on the Flat this summer. Creditable fourth of 6 in handicap chase at Wexford (2m) next outing, but added to this season's patchy record back hurdling when well held at Listowel (2¼m) 8 days ago.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/067/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par8/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par20/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%10/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%8/08Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 42%4/09Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 24%20/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.3%Ahead 2/4
9
8
OR 97
16/1
Shannon Bank silks

T Mulvey

7yo Mare · 10-7

Champs Elysees - Supreme Vic (Old Vic)

Daniel KingA Kinirons60%
2P717P
5.0
Cheek pieces

Off the mark on second run for this stable in mares handicap hurdle at Listowel (2m) in June. However, has gone backwards from that effort in 2 chase starts since, pulled up in handicap at Killarney last time.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/088/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par5/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par7/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par1/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par30/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par30/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%20/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 76%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 92%5/10Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 54%30/06
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.7%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 88
25/1
Miss Lia silks

Sussex By The Sea Syndicate/David L'Estrange

6yo Mare · 10-0

Califet - Salmiakki (Milan)

Shane O'Callaghan60%0/1P J Rothwell60%
2P2067
3.0
Cheek pieces

Runner-up 4 times in handicap hurdles in 2025/26. Yet to fire this season, though, including on second chase start when mid-field in handicap at Downpatrick (24f) in June. Fared little better back hurdling at the same venue last month. 2 lb out of the weights here.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/1025/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par29/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par16/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par9/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%5/10Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%29/03Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%13/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%9/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 2/4
5
10
OR 110
16/1
Neon Diamond silks

Liam J Clancy

7yo Mare · 11-6

Westerner - Silvers Promise (Presenting)

Sam Ewing0/3G Elliott60%
54255P
3.0
Cheek pieces

Bumper/hurdles winner and ran to a similar level when making the frame in mares maidens on first 2 starts over fences. Form has been mixed in 3 subsequent outings, though, not jumping well when pulled up in handicap at Perth (3m) in June.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/0811/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par9/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par12/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 131y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%10/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%9/01Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%26/03Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%12/04
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.4%Ahead 3/4