14:00 · Newton Abbot

Shelley Coles - Setting the Pace at 60 Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 75yGoing TBCClass 34YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 104
4/5
Juggernaut silks

Anthony Honeyball Racing Club

7yo Gelding · 10-5

Spanish Moon - Sacoleva (Lavirco)

Chad Bament60%2/3−5lbA J Honeyball90%
223431
8.0Going 10.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Back to his best in first-time blinkers when landing 5-runner C&D chase with extra to spare earlier this month. Could well follow up despite being just out of the weights, with promising 5-lb claimer again in the saddle (2 wins and a second from 3 starts aboard him).

Class Advantage

27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par27/0319/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 75y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%27/03Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%24/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%25/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.6%Ahead 1/4
2
3
OR 122
8/1
Minella Jury silks

Mr J Fyffe

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Jukebox Jury - Wings Of Glory (Monsun)

Sam Twiston-Davies80%0/1N & W Twiston-Davies60%
2113FP
8.0

Fairly useful bumper winner in Ireland. Looked set to make it 2 from 3 over hurdles when exiting on handicap bow at Doncaster in February and didn't look over that fall at Plumpton 5 weeks later. Low-mileage 6-y-o is interesting now sent chasing by yard that often makes hay at this time of year.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/0911/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/01 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a23/01projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 75y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%19/09Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 88%11/10Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%27/10Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%19/12Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 71%23/01
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.3%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 125
9/4
Gore Point silks

Mr M W Pendarves

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Order Of St George - Preveza (Dalakhani)

Harry Cobden70%A J Honeyball70%
211114
8.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Thriving when completing a 4-timer (and C&D hat-trick) in another small-field event last month. Clearly didn't give his running off a 5-day turnaround here subsequently. Has been given time to get over that and may go close if back on song with Harry Cobden taking over.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par10/0629/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par3/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par22/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par27/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 75y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.1%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 120
8/1
Inside Man silks

Jakeman, Mason, Roberts & Brookes

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Manatee - Rockburn (Saint Des Saints)

C Gethings1/3Mrs J Williams60%
211794
5.0Class ↓1

Fairly useful type who notched his fourth career hurdles win in smooth style on return here (2m) last year. Presumably had a few issues subsequently but looked on his way back when beaten 9 lengths at Chepstow in April. The best of these over hurdles and looks the type to make a chaser.

Class Advantage

2/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par2/0421/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par9/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par6/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par5/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par24/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%2/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%9/09Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%5/04Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%24/04
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.1%Ahead 2/4