Histori Chope

2yo Filly · 9-2

Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Des Grands Crus Maiden Stakes · 6f 211y

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼2

Strength77%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C2.4

Today:

Class gap: +2.1

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-05	Craon	?	6th	2nd	+4	8.4
2026-08-09	Le Lion D'angers	2	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-07-26	Mont De Marsan	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength96%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/07/2026	2nd	9/1	53%	89%	+0.36
09/08/2026	3rd	11/2	71%	60%	-0.11
05/09/2026	6th	20/1	0%	38%	+0.38