1

Baklawa

3yo Filly · 9-1

Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix De Pomerol Stakes · 6f 211y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 10/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13010/10C5C1 @ Chantilly 27/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12727/12C51 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 121C1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 121 · HIGHER CLASS22/02C1C1 @ Deauville 07/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS10/0511 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS26/08C1projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch?10th10th+0
2026-05-31Chantilly19th9th+0
2026-05-10ParisLongchamp111th10th+1
2026-04-07Deauville?6th6th+0
2026-02-22Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st+0
2026-02-01Cagnes-sur-Mer13rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/101/0210/0526/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
27/10/20253rd17/255%75%+0.20
27/12/20254th5/174%57%-0.17
01/02/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04
22/02/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
07/04/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
10/05/202611th80/10%29%+0.29
31/05/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
26/08/202610th33/10%18%+0.18