3

Pas Dansant

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix De Pomerol Stakes · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 28/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12528/11C5C5 @ Pau 28/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1302 @ Pau 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1303/022C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1251 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS23/041C0 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 127C0 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13118/06C?C1 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1255/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch22nd3rd−1
2026-08-09Deauville?5th5th+0
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp?7th7th0
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp17th7th+0
2026-04-01La Teste De Buch?3rd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/111/0418/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
28/12/20255th6/168%43%-0.26
03/02/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
01/04/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41
23/04/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
21/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
18/06/20267th7/282%14%-0.67
09/08/20265th66/10%69%+0.69
05/09/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37