2
Plutarque
3yo Colt · 8-13
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix De Pomerol Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |