7
Senatrice
3yo Filly · 8-10
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix De Pomerol Stakes · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Dax | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 54% | -0.32 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 10/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |